Climate Risk Management: Warming Gravely Misconstrued

MANILA, PHILIPPINES – Shortly after this discussion, we are publishing over open sources, the concept of safe zoning, consolidating and unifying sensible response to the threat of geohazards – Battering Insanity:  Practical Solutions for Threatened Populations.

This is the cornerstone of our agenda for holding an environment and geohazards mapping conference in Manila that we began espousing in 2009.  It is bolstered by the determination of the people of Sendai to relocate – if in some cases by force of circumstance – to higher and safer ground.

We argue here that the inane statement or concept of: “New Normal” is a throwback to obsolescent thought, an anachronism that threatens to seep into the collective consciousness but leave out the vital, significant events that will usher all of us into a deep crisis that might not be that easy to escape from.

At the moment, some supposed knowledgeable and decision-capable entities are conferencing in Lima, Peru in “climate talks . . . that mounting science-based evidence of a warming world, coupled with extreme weather events, is particularly being felt and is devastating to developing countries like the Philippines. . .”

Philippines Climate Change Commission Secretary Mary Ann Lucille Sering, seen in file photo, said at this week’s climate talks in Lima that mounting science-based evidence of a warming world, coupled with extreme weather events, is particularly being felt and is devastating to developing countries like the Philippines.

INTERAKSYON in a report filed by Imelda V. Abano, datelined December 5, 2014 states in its banner:

World heating up: 2014 set to be the hottest year ever, poor countries most affected

If the world is heating up, and 2014 is set to be the hottest year ever, with poor countries most affected (the Philippines being a poor country being among the leading ones impacted), why is the Philippine representative to Lima, Undersecretary Sering wearing a beautiful smile talking about warming and all the rest of her confreres in their panel are frowning?  (Ms. Sering must really be clueless. The conference organizer has a database and search engine that does not even contain “Philippines”.  When you search for Manila, you get a hit saying, “Manila, The Philippines” – not quite certain if Manila is The Philippines or The Philippines is just Manila.  If you search for Eastern Visayas, the WMO idiot search software will now redirect you to “Bolivia”.  Quite an experience for such a giant organization with a mammoth budget.  What could they be doing with their money? Probably fostering disasters in the Taclobans of the world but maintaining their invisibility on record.)

Then in the same breath, the United Nations  said that:

Still possible to curb global warming but time is running short: UN chief Ban

According to an Agence France Presse report filed on December 10, 2014, by one of the selected members of media that report on unusual solar events, Mariette Le Roux, the statement of the Secretary General of the United Nations‘ reads:

LIMA, Peru – The UN urged nations Tuesday to seize a shrinking opportunity to tame global warming as ministers negotiated in Lima for a new world pact to slash carbon emissions.

“There is still a chance to stay within the internationally-agreed ceiling,” UN chief Ban Ki-moon said, referring to the goal of limiting warming to two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) over pre-industrial levels.

“But the window of opportunity is fast narrowing.”

The UN secretary general opened a high-level segment of the December 1-12 talks, with ministers bringing much-needed political muscle to the final four days of a fraught process.

Parties remain far apart on key aspects of a deal they have vowed to ink in Paris in December next year and implement from 2020.

“I am deeply concerned that our collective action does not match our common responsibilities,” Ban told delegates.

“This is not the time for tinkering, it’s time for transformation.”

Draft texts were unveiled Monday that encapsulate a broad variety of views on how best to slash Earth-warming greenhouse gas emissions.

These documents will form the basis for political negotiations among ministers, starting Tuesday with the tough issue of climate finance for developing world.

On Wednesday will be talks on the even thornier issue of “differentiation” — how to divide the burden for carbon cuts between rich and poor countries.

Ministers will also hold bilateral discussions with Ban, who nailed climate change to the top of the agenda in September by hosting a special summit in New York.

The Lima talks have two main tasks: drafting a negotiating outline for the Paris deal and reaching agreement on the format for carbon-curbing pledges that nations are to submit from the first quarter of next year.

But negotiators do not see eye to eye on some basic questions.

Among them is climate financing and adaptation help for the developing world, and how to assess whether national pledges, combined, will place the world on target for the two degrees Celsius goal.

At the very least, we can only deplore this news.  It is not correct, will never be and it is an idea lost in time. As early as 2012 up to 2013, the specific threat of warming of the recent period, not out of the so-called conventional “Climate Change” being bandied about by insensitive and nonsensical quarters as the be-all and end-all of all the world’s environmental and weather woes, has already been pinpointed.  The financial sector has been hot on the trail of carbon funds, and everyone is quick to point at carbon emissions as the culprit for many of the deplorable natural calamities as well as human-made catastrophes happening around the world today.

To say that 2014 is the worst year means that the so-called experts and concerned parties that made the allegations do not know where they are coming from and have no real inkling about what is going to happen.  To say that global warming has come to its zenith is sheer stupidity.

It is conceded one hundred percent that there is global warming.  No one can absolutely deny the dire and life-threatening effects of too much greenhouse gases escaping into the atmosphere unimpeded.  We do not subscribe to the Heartland Institute’s worldwide campaign to degrade the menace of global warming and the catastrophes that it will bring.

But for purposes of 2014 and the coming year, 2015, this overly vulgarized diabolic incidence called global warming has to be set aside for even just at least a very brief moment.

What everyone in the planet situated in risk zones may suffer from will clearly not be from climate change alone. The cause will still be very much akin to warming, but not as the article above says. We have been bruiting about this since Ondoy (Typhoon Ketsana) mercilessly killed thousands of unsuspecting Metro Manilans and those from other nearby areas in the period of the latter part of September 2009.

The apt definition for the cause of vulnerable populations coming under potentially high-risk conditions can simply be referred to generically as climate risk.  In 2015, there is another adversary and it will be a much more formidable foe, bigger than global warming or the HAARP.  It will circle around the UN’s world disaster risk reduction conference in Sendai, Japan that was suddenly conceived and announced haphazardly – like the Lima, Peru conference, this latter summit by the United Nations through its weather arm, the World Meteorological Organization.

We cannot go further as to say that those purveying the belief that global warming will kill billions of people planet-wide in the next few months or years, are misleading the world public.

That would be cruel, but if true, then deceiving the populations of the world – specially those lying in the path of disasters and are the most vulnerable to fatality, disease, injury, maiming or other irreparable damage, is just extremely unforgivable.

It cannot be because they know the real reasons behind a potentially risky polar shift or similar phenomena and have prepared for themselves alone safety valves, safety nets. Safeguards that will benefit a limited component of the population.  Since the stakeholders in the climate are forever in disagreement with what to do with the “Global Warming” issue, with many nations being compelled to pay up oodles and oodles of money for managing “Global Warming” – whatever that means, then it is really just goodbye to the many billions of the world population that will be directly or just as heartlessly, sideswiped by this so-called “Global Warming” cataclysms sweeping the globe.

All the blame will thereby go simply to the lack of conscious and pro-active response to the so-called “New Normal.”   It is just such a predicament meant only for buffoons. Therefore, before anything unacceptable happens to vulnerable human enclaves in all the globe’s continents where environment hazards abound, it is only imperative for those that will be affected not to subscribe to such inanity.

A responsible sector of the scientific community has come up with the consensus prior to 2013 that, that year 2013 will be the year that will primarily be threatened by abnormal solar activity.  If their predictions and forecasts will miss, the next targeted period will be the year of 2015.  On the other hand, 2014 will be considered a lull or easygoing year.

For this very reason, although not singularly due to this alone, overemphasizing 2014 to be the world’s “disastrous year” because it registers the highest temperature is foolish.

Indeed, the forecast was a near miss, for only a handful of calamities were recorded in the year 2013 – one of them being Super Typhoon Haiyan – also commonly known as Yolanda.  The World Vision, lists the five top disasters of the previous year:

Five of the worst natural disasters of 2013:

• Typhoon Haiyan – Philippines
• Typhoon Phailin – India
• Hurricanes Manuel and Ingrid – Mexico
• Earthquake – Central Visayas, Philippines
• Tornadoes – United States

The extreme solar activity forecast was made with a very high degree of reliability. To this end, we would like to share the NASA warning about unexpected occurrences attributed to solar activity.

United Kingdom:  The Daily Mail reports that NASA warned of unexpected happenings in relation to solar storm activity.

Needless to mention the Daily Mail’s reported cataclysmic event is not unexpected, as members of NASA themselves and many like minded quarters of the scientific community already considered 2013 and 2015 to be the two years wherein such events will occur.

The Telegraph – also in the United Kingdom, makes the same report: Huge Space Storm Will Cause Devastation.

Photos from The Telegraph:

It becomes exceptionally treacherous and deceitful therefore to desensitize the public about the trouble that sun spot and solar flare activity will bring.  Survivalist movements are doubly right about pursuing a particular path that many consider mind boggling, but they are going in the right direction.  No one has any right to bamboozle the world public into believing lies and fabrications that will lead to their own decimation.

If the experience of killer disasters like Haiyan in the Philippines, Typhoon Phailin in India, Hurricanes Manuel and Ingrid in Mexico, the Bohol and Cebu earthquakes in the Philippines and the various powerful Tornadoes in Oklahoma in the United States are not enough to educate all of us about what is still to come, without taking the simplistic and crazed characterization of recent climate risks as “new normal,” then vulnerable human communities will never be safe from the start of 2013 onwards.

We maintain the position, that 2014, is not the worst year for us.  The worst is still to come but not because His Excellency Bank Ki Moon says it’s because of the fiendish global warming.  We can only welcome 2015 with intense trepidation, but armed with the knowledge that the future is ours to determine – whether there are so-called black guelphs and wicked pseudo royalties and pompous messianic cults within our midst.

In the Philippines, everyone is enjoined to support with all their might the modernization of the PAGASA and PHIVOLCs and to create a national frenzy in favor of emulating the experience of some Metro Manila towns and cities to install Public Warning Systems that we have been fighting for since 1992 for vulnerable communities not only in the Philippine national capital region.

We urge everyone to consider confronting coming calamities as communities, not plainly and erroneously as individuals.  There were times in the past when we truly believed and were exceedingly committed to upholding the institution of individual rights.  That time is long past.  We live now in an age where we have to cement our relationships with our own next door, second-to-the-next-door, third-to-the-next-door, fourth-, fifth- and so on. We now live in a time when we have to become communities, think as communities, breathe-eat and sleep as communities.

Since when are we prevented from becoming warm and cooperative with our fellow humans?  No one, not even the most powerful religions and political beliefs can prevent us from doing that.  As a matter of fact, our beliefs and convictions, if we do have them, are the very ones that will motivate us towards cooperation, harmonious and meaningful relations with our fellow members of our communities.

If it counts for anything, the Philippines is blessed with the concept of bayanihan etched into the genetic make-up of nearly every Filipino.  Something similar is found in a pronounced quantity among many Japanese that shined brightly in March 2011.  It is the same spirit that strengthened the resolve of communities in Sendai to move entire communities from their original location in low lying areas towards high grounds where their safety could be relatively more assured – at least from tsunami.

Whatever the peoples of countries around the world believe in, it would still be an eye opener to study and practice this inimitable idea of cooperation among community members.  And among peoples of the world, this is the only last imperative to human survival:  helping and sharing with one another against those that wish many of us better dead and buried.

Related Readings:

Billionaires fund Anti-Climate Change Campaigns
Extreme Weather Events of 2013

World Disaster Report

How much carbon emission is too much?

EPA: Greenhouse Gases – Carbon Dioxide Emissions

Carbon Dioxide in Earth’s Atmosphere – Wikipedia

Greenhouse Gases Rise Fastest in Last 30 Years

World Vision: Share Big Dreams THIS CHRISTMAS

World Vision: Five of the worst disasters of 2013

Typhoon Haiyan – Philippines

Considered one of the strongest storms ever to make landfall, Typhoon Haiyan tore through the central Philippines November 8, killing nearly 6,000 people and displacing more than 3.6 million.
The 13-foot storm surge and up to 235-mph wind gusts largely wiped out coastal cities and destroyed much of the region’s infrastructure, such as roads, water and sanitation systems, and telecommunications lines.

“When you look at the mountains, they look bare and stripped of all vegetation,” Aaron Aspi, a World Vision communications officer, told ABC Radio on November 11 from northern Cebu.

Typhoon Phailin – India

The strongest cyclone to hit India in 14 years, Typhoon Phailin affected the livelihoods of more than 13 million people in the country’s northeast.

Heavy rains and more than 150-mph winds brought widespread devastation. But fewer than 50 people died in the mid-October storm. Governments and aid organizations credited improved disaster preparedness and the early evacuation of about 1 million of the most vulnerable residents along the coast.

Hurricanes Manuel and Ingrid – Mexico

Two separate storms overwhelmed western Mexico with rain in September, triggering widespread flooding and landslides. More than 200,000 people were affected in Guerrero state alone. In Acapulco, five feet of mud overtook vehicles and destroyed homes.

World Vision staff provided families in the Xochistlahuaca and Santa Catarina River communities in Guerrero with food, blankets, and tarps. In the long term, we will provide clean water, sanitation kits, and construction materials to help families rebuild their homes.

We will also operate Child-Friendly Spaces, where children have a safe place to learn, play, and receive counseling.

Earthquake – Central Visayas, Philippines

Just three weeks before Typhoon Haiyan hit Central Visayas, a magnitude-7.2 earthquake rocked the same region, killing 222 people, displacing 350,000, and damaging or destroying about 73,000 buildings. Thousands of displaced or homeless quake survivors still had not found adequate shelter before Haiyan blew through.

Tornadoes – United States

A massive tornado, packing 200-mph winds, raked a 12-mile path through the Oklahoma City area May 20, destroying homes and severely damaging two elementary schools. The twister killed 24 people, ABC News reported.

The week before, as many as 10 tornadoes touched down in North Texas, killing six.